All weather prognoses
which go beyond 10 days are called long range
However, no specific weather can
be created for a particular day, but only a
large-scale weather trend
longer period, for example, a month or a season. It
must be noted that this by no means is an undisputed
area for long-term forecasts, but this is still not
the object of much discussion. Further explanation
can be found on the
The topic of long range weather forecasting were
especially investigated by Franz Baur, a former
german pioneer of this area, who had published a
multiplicity of statistical weather rules. As far as
it is possible I also try to include these rules
into the forecasts.
The hit probability of the monthly forecasts which
are published here amounts around 65 - 70 % and for
seasonal forecasts around 75 % at present.
Similarly, the predictions are constantly verified
and evaluated on an accuracy.
link to the detailed
verification can be found
on the forecast